[Morning call] - The Vin group contributed heavily to the decline
Highlights US futures fall on hotter-than-expected inflation, Nikkei 225 down for a fifth straight session, European stocks rise, crude oil near $95/barrel. US stock futures extended losses on Thursday as hotter-than-expected consumer inflation strengthened expectations of more aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.3% and 0.9%, respectively, while Dow futures were flat. During Wednesday’s regular session, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 1.11% and 1.88%, respectively, with technology stocks leading the selloff amid growing concerns over AI-related investments. Data released Wednesday also showed that annual consumer price inflation accelerated to 3.7% in September, its highest level in four months and above market expectations of 3.6%. Investors are now awaiting Thursday’s producer inflation report, along with the latest retail sales data and weekly jobless claims figures. On the corporate front, earnings reports are expected from Charles Schwab, US Bancorp, Freeport-McMoRan, American Airlines, Snap, and other companies. Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.05% to close at 67,744 on Wednesday, surrendering earlier gains and extending its decline to a fifth consecutive session. European equities closed higher on Wednesday, resisting sharp losses in North American equity markets amid positive corporate developments for local corporate giants. Crude oil traded near $95 per barrel on Thursday after rallying for five straight sessions, underpinned by escalating hostilities in the Middle East and Eastern Europe that heightened concerns over supply disruptions. Declining with divergence. The market declined mainly due to the VIC and VHM stocks, which together took the index down by nearly 12 points out of the total 14.55-point decline. In contrast, the financial sector is showing resilience. We expect a rebound around the psychological level of 1,700, but do not rule out the possibility of the market falling to 1,660 (the lower bound of the trading range over the past 10 months). Support and resistance are 1,660 - 1,800, respectively. Trading strategy: Prioritize defensive stocks with low beta, strong cash flow, high dividends and low leverage amid high interest rates. With thin liquidity the market can fall suddenly, so buying on pullbacks is more appropriate than chasing prices. Also pay more attention to individual sectors and stocks than to the overall index, given the sharply divergent market. Prioritize sectors with strong capital inflows and expectations of outstanding Q3 business results.
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